Market Analysis and Operation Suggestions for Gold and Silver Crude Oil in 8.30 Nights of King of Gold

Market Analysis and Operation Suggestions for Gold and Silver Crude Oil in 8.30 Nights of King of Gold

I. Influencing factors of the recent market trend--Non-agricultural data relay central bank annual meeting, ending in August and meeting "super week"

Second, technical analysis - gold multi-cycle resonance forms a bullish pattern, the trend has not changed

Third, the operation suggestion - gold and silver operation recommendations, the operation is mainly on the dips

Fourth, the solution strategy - how to solve the gold and long quilt cover, why is the quilt always you?

Five, warm tips - how to maintain a good mentality under the data market, why are you always losing money?

Non-agricultural data relay central bank annual meeting, August closed to welcome "super week"

Along with a missile from North Korea yesterday, Japan’s risk aversion has once again been ignited. The situation in North Korea, which has just calmed down for a while, seems to have a resurgence trend, but in the end it seems to be a false alarm, even though this time. The missile was tested, but it is clear that in all respects, there is no further "provocation" in it, probably because of a comprehensive consideration of a military and political form of North Korea. With the short-lived risk aversion, the price of gold also took the roller coaster, and staged a market that plunged.

Even so, the overall strong trend of gold has not changed. Gold is still sticking to the top of the 1300 mark. The main reason is that Hurricane Harvey has caused disasters to the United States, so in the light market, gold prices are still Can hold the thousand three mark. However, such a situation may usher in a decisive change on Wednesday, as there will be heavy data released on Wednesday, and gold will be able to hold the thousand-gate mark to complete the target in the upcoming August closing day.

For gold tonight, it will usher in a continuous strong impact, which can be divided into the following points:

1.ADP data

In the non-agricultural week, the size of non-agricultural data is inseparable. Although the impact of ADP data is small compared with non-agricultural farmers, many small non-agricultural farmers can also reflect the results of large non-agricultural farmers to a certain extent. From the results of the past two months, ADP recorded a record of 17.8 in July after a record of 15.8 in June, which showed an overall upward trend, but this was not as expected for two consecutive months. Therefore, if the ADP data tonight is also less than expected, it may first bring a wave of gold to the market.

2. US second quarter GDP revision

This data is only 15 minutes apart from ADP. As a barometer of the US economy, the good GDP data also directly affects the market's concern about the US economic outlook. The US economic situation is also an important basis for the Fed's actions. Many people nowadays I think that the Fed will start the next action in September, and it is very likely that it will be a contraction. So, is this GDP data further consolidating this expectation, or is it a question mark for the Fed’s actions? It will be announced tonight. The key point is that GDP and the previous ADP announcement time are very close, so the gold market may be subject to large fluctuations in a short period of time.

--Exclusive message analysis:

Gold trend forecast:

From the current spot gold trend, in the hourly chart, today's gold opened slightly after the opening of the 1310, but then fell again, it can be seen that the current market conditions may return to the shock mode again, after yesterday's high, the impact of the North Korean situation Temporarily subsided, and the reason for Hurricane Harvey makes the price of gold temporarily stable above the 1300 mark, so the two major data tonight need to focus on, if the gold is negative, the price of gold may expand to 1300. If gold is good, the price of gold is expected to return to the range of 1315-1320 or even higher. At present, the three tracks of the Bollinger Band have been flattened. The gold is currently in the short range of the middle and lower rails, but the overall trend is dominated by shocks, and the short-term support looks at $1,305.

to sum up:

In general, gold has returned to a relatively stable state after two days of market plunging. The gold price is now able to stand above the 1300 mark. It is a good performance today. Today, gold is facing continuous Under the "impact", whether you can survive the danger, depends on the performance of the market and the vitality of gold.

- Technical analysis of the trend of gold and white banks:

gold:

Due to the geopolitical situation, gold once hit the 1326 first-line high, but as the market digested this sentiment, the trend began to slow down, and the trend of the callback began to unfold, which caused the rising momentum to begin to shrink, and the gold fell to 1305. It is also expected that at the technical level, there is a top pattern in the trend last night. The downward trend of the dead fork formed by the hourly maps MA5 and MA10 is also obvious. One point to note is that the MA5 is now showing signs of rising and boll shrinking. The formation of the mouth, in the overall form, shows a trend of weak decline, and ultimately can stand 1300, but also look at the impact of data today.

The sudden impact of the geopolitical situation is indeed quite attractive, but the market's heat aging is quite short-lived. With the previous big rise and fall, it also basically gives the overall range trend in the later period. Today, the range volatility can be seen. 1326, look at 1304 below, this interval is appropriate.

silver:

Spot silver rallied yesterday, and today's opening continued to refresh the high of 17.55. Compared with the explosion of gold, the rising space of silver is normal. The downward trend line and the annual pressure of the daily chart have slightly stopped, and it has not yet fully stabilized. Short-term may be accompanied by consolidation, but the megatrend is optimistic about breakthroughs. After all, the monthly chart has laid a medium-term uptrend. It is recommended to focus on the closing situation of today and tomorrow. If the strong Lianyang holds above 17.50, it should actively look at it. Otherwise, it will wait until the callback and then cut in. The main trend is mainly based on empty orders.

crude:

In terms of crude oil, after a period of nearly a week of low-level triangle volatility, the oil price fell sharply yesterday. The 47.0 mark that has been tested repeatedly in the previous period fell off in the evening, and the market also ushered in a cliff-like decline, with the lowest price hitting 46.12. The intraday decline was exactly 2 US dollars, the daily line received the Yinxian line, the short-term short trend continued. Finishing the transition, the European market opened and there is no weak brush, showing that the current trend is still volatile, not unilateral decline, even if yesterday's decline is relatively large, but today there is no very weak continuation, only 4 hours in the downside. Since it is a step down, it will be confirmed with a certain rebound. At present, the trend line pressure and the top-bottom conversion are under pressure from 47.0-47.20. The pressure is not recovered, and the US plate is still properly looking at the fall of inertia. Early operation recommendations are still dominated by high altitude, and the short-term support below focuses on the morning rising line of 46.30!

-- How to operate gold and silver today?

gold:

1. The price of gold fell back to 1314-1316, the stop loss was 1310, the target was 1323-1325, and the break was 1330;

2. The gold price hit 1323-1325 short, stop loss 1328, target 1317-1315;

3. The price of gold broke 1310 and fell to 1305-1303. The stop loss was 1300, the target was 1313-1315, and the break was 1320;

silver:

1. More than 17.36 silver, stop loss of 17.1 US dollars, target of 17.75 US dollars;

crude:

1. Crude oil 47.2 is empty, stop loss is 47.8, target 46.0;

2. Recommended 46.0-46.2, stop loss 0.4 US dollars, target 46.8-47;

-- How to solve the gold and silver long and short quilt cover, why are you always covered?

More than one set of gold 1320:

Today's Asian-European gold strong rises to 1325 position and then retreats to the 1320 position for 3 hours. This position is a long-term friend who believes that there are not a few, the bullish trend has risen strongly, and the $5 retracement is simply the market has given a The opportunity to enter. However, the facts are always counterproductive. Gold rebounded directly after a 1224 decline to a $10. This situation is normal, the gap opened higher, the war of words between the United States and the DPRK has been promoting the participation of safe-haven buying, the price has hit new highs, and the one-hour level has a dead fork down, the gold price is high. In the case of insufficient kinetic energy, a big callback is inevitable.

Now the gold trend is still long, the multiple orders near 1320 are recommended to support 1308 as the defensive point, the current price of 1314 position to increase the position, as long as the bullish trend does not change back is only a matter of time. Adding an average price of Dora, you can make a small profit tomorrow.

Gold 1280-1300 interval empty single solution set:

The above article I have written very clearly, the gold bullish trend is not difficult to change again, and now the callback is so much a limit, and the risk aversion will only speed up the rise of gold, below 1305 The probability is very small. It is better to start over with another idea than to die. I believe that you are also uncomfortable with this trend. You can feel that the sky is dim when you hit 1326 on the Asian plate.

1326 is not the top, the follow-up continues to see the new high, it is recommended that all the empty orders below 1300 are damaged, maybe you are not willing and reluctant, but the fact is. Locking the warehouse is also a method but it is not recommended. If the lock is still to be solved, the market will still go so far. It also leads to the loss of both sides of the long and short profits. It is also awkward to hold the heart every day.

If this method is not well grasped, Xiao Di will tell you clearly whether to enter or not, or how to operate. Feel free to communicate, I wish you all success!

- Write to investors:

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